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Guojin Securities: In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain and can independently control and benefit from the industrial chain. Guojin Securities Research Report pointed out that the AI big model has brought new development opportunities to consumer electronics and IOT hardware, and it is expected to continue to drive hardware innovation, improve the value of the industrial chain and accelerate the replacement cycle. The trend of Apple's hardware innovation and growth is gradually clear. In 2025, IPhone17 is expected to usher in great innovation in hardware and end-side AI. In 2026, Apple is expected to launch folding mobile phones/iPads and smart glasses. AI smart glasses are in full bloom and are expected to usher in explosive growth. Self-control of semiconductors is the general trend, and we are optimistic about semiconductor equipment parts, materials and domestic computing power industry chain. In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain, AI glasses, AI-driven and self-controllable benefit industrial chain.New quality productivity is still the core of policy orientation! Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%. On December 10th, Kechuang 100TF (588190) closed up 1.71%, with a turnover of 667 million yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Guo Dun Quantum up 6.19%, Siwei up 4.18%, and Hengxuan Technology, Ruichuang Micro-nano and Alice followed suit. Huajin Securities said that developing new quality productivity is still the main policy orientation. The meeting clearly put forward that "scientific and technological innovation should lead the development of new quality productivity", showing that the emerging industries related to the eight new quality productivity are still the main direction of the policy. From a short-term perspective, positive policies are expected to drive A-shares to start the New Year's market. First, from the molecular perspective, the meeting may raise the market's expectation of economic recovery: the meeting can expect to adjust fiscal and monetary easing next year and further economic recovery. In terms of liquidity, further easing of monetary policy is expected to rise.Nippon Steel issued a statement to the employees of American Steel Company to seek understanding about the acquisition case. On December 9, local time, Nippon Steel issued a statement for the employees of the company, saying that "Nippon Steel has been working hard to completely eliminate the concerns of united steelworkers union". According to Nippon Steel, Hong Gao Sen, vice chairman of the company, met with the executive department of USW and introduced the acquisition plan. It is reported that he also listened to the requirements of USW. USW claims that Japan Steel will transfer its production from the existing blast furnace equipment to the electric furnace steel works. Nippon Steel Co., Ltd. said that "the only way to prevent production transfer is to complete the acquisition" and stressed its consistent commitment not to close the factory. In addition, Nippon Steel also revealed the details of the future blast furnace investment plan.

President united steelworkers union: The acquisition of Nippon Steel in Japan may mean the long-term decline of American steel companies. The head of the largest trade union in North America said that there is no guarantee from Nippon Steel to ensure that American steel companies will not decline after the acquisition. A few days ago, Nippon Steel of Japan proposed a $15 billion acquisition of American steel companies, which was opposed by Biden and Trump. The acquisition will be subject to the national security review of the Committee on Foreign Investment (CFIUS) later this month. United steelworkers union Chairman David McCall was interviewed on Monday. On that day, Nippon Steel announced the details of various commitments it had made to gain union support, including job security and investment in facilities. Mccall said that one of his biggest concerns is that Nippon Steel may export steel products to the United States through its international steel mills, which he feared would weaken the position of American steel companies. Mccall said: "When we discuss with Nippon Steel, nothing can guarantee that their commitment is feasible in the long run." Nippon Steel previously denied that it would import steel from its international steel mills after reaching an agreement, and repeatedly said that its goal is to become a "member" of the United States, and the American market is crucial to its future growth.The commander of the intelligence command of the South Korean Ministry of Defense was suspended. On December 10, local time, the South Korean Ministry of National Defense announced that it would take suspension measures against Wen Xianghu, commander of the intelligence command of the Ministry of National Defense. (CCTV News)Huaxi Securities: In 2025, the rate of RRR cut and interest rate cut may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp. Huaxi Securities Research Report pointed out that this Politburo meeting revisited "moderately loose monetary policy", and the market inevitably associated with the magnificent combination of monetary and fiscal policies in 2008-2010. Specific to this round of monetary policy, it may be similar to it, not only the tone has changed, but also the framework has changed from the previous cross-cycle (or both cross-cycle and counter-cycle) to counter-cycle adjustment, which is likely to point to an increase in the adjustment range of reserve ratio and policy interest rate. Looking forward to 2025, the rate of single RRR cut and interest rate cut of monetary policy may not be lower than 50bp and 20bp (the rate in 2024), and the possibility of further increasing the rate in the face of extreme circumstances is not ruled out. The specific degree and duration of easing may depend on the economic situation.

According to Reuters news, an Israeli military spokesman today (December 10th) denied that the Israeli army had reached the place 25km away from Damascus, and said that the Israeli army had not left the buffer zone. Earlier, the media reported that the Israeli army had arrived about 25 kilometers southwest of Damascus, the Syrian capital. Reuters quoted Syrian security sources as saying that Israeli troops had arrived in Qatena in Rif Dimashq. (CCTV International News)Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.The financing balance of the two cities increased by 3.489 billion yuan. As of December 9, the financing balance of the Shanghai Stock Exchange was 951.454 billion yuan, an increase of 223 million yuan over the previous trading day; The financing balance of Shenzhen Stock Exchange was 901.246 billion yuan, an increase of 3.266 billion yuan over the previous trading day; The two cities totaled 1,852.70 billion yuan, an increase of 3.489 billion yuan over the previous trading day.